Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.981626 1.193765 1.419753 1.676430 1.957990 2.255729 2.592692
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.745777 1.042731 1.382225 1.790710 2.261260 2.779633 3.387478
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.624824 0.966438 1.376486 1.888339 2.495483 3.180064 3.998440
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.507896 0.873719 1.334978 1.931217 2.657481 3.493182 4.508708
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.405088 0.779030 1.274407 1.936232 2.761975 3.729206 4.921124
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.301122 0.663808 1.172779 1.877770 2.779783 3.855629 5.199926
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.219740 0.565076 1.080405 1.820300 2.789916 3.965847 5.453729
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.162811 0.492260 1.014644 1.789931 2.827681 4.104440 5.737066
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.130746 0.455359 0.996450 1.820377 2.940854 4.333946 6.128940
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.100328 0.413500 0.965599 1.829455 3.023516 4.523881 6.471782
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.069560 0.360380 0.910492 1.799237 3.050674 4.641784 6.724749
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.064871 0.367280 0.954192 1.912984 3.271552 5.005679 7.282122
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.058267 0.370166 0.995192 2.030087 3.507527 5.402203 7.897474
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.051833 0.371984 1.034642 2.146401 3.745092 5.804421 8.524908
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.045953 0.373152 1.071889 2.258730 3.976815 6.198991 9.142854
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.034592 0.351859 1.066385 2.304779 4.116811 6.475756 9.614687
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.022592 0.319541 1.036609 2.310857 4.199660 6.677639 9.992275
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.010253 0.268826 0.964535 2.245893 4.179648 6.743464 10.197187
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003218 0.224011 0.896538 2.182199 4.157622 6.803859 10.393027
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000557 0.191974 0.849496 2.148448 4.175009 6.913228 10.648120
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.178934 0.843313 2.182269 4.290188 7.152675 11.069799
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.161548 0.824107 2.192343 4.369706 7.344079 11.429887
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.136608 0.781374 2.158792 4.382913 7.445247 11.673155